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ABSTRACT
For years computer-based stochastic simulation has been a commonly used tool in the performance evaluation of various systems. Unfortunately, the results of simulation studies quite often have little credibility, since they are presented without regard to their random nature and the need for proper statistical analysis of simulation output data.
This paper discusses the main factors that can affect the accuracy of stochastic simulations designed to give insight into the steady-state behavior of queuing processes. The problems of correctly starting and stopping such simulation experiments to obtain the required statistical accuracy of the results are addressed. In this survey of possible solutions, the emphasis is put on possible applications in the sequential analysis of output data, which adaptively decides about continuing a simulation experiment until the required accuracy of results is reached. A suitable solution for deciding upon the starting point of a steady-state analysis and two techniques for obtaining the final simulation results to a required level of accuracy are presented, together with pseudocode implementations.
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CITED BY 35
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Pieter A. Voss , Jorge Haddock , Thomas R. Willemain, Estimating steady state mean from short transient simulations, Proceedings of the 28th conference on Winter simulation, p.222-229, December 08-11, 1996, Coronado, California, United States
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Christopher W. Zobel , K. Preston White, Jr., Determining a warm-up period for a telephone network routing simulation, Proceedings of the 31st conference on Winter simulation: Simulation---a bridge to the future, p.662-665, December 05-08, 1999, Phoenix, Arizona, United States
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Donald C. McNickle , Krzysztof Pawlikowski , Gregory Ewing, Experimental evaluation of confidence interval procedures in sequential steady-state simulation, Proceedings of the 28th conference on Winter simulation, p.382-389, December 08-11, 1996, Coronado, California, United States
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Krzysztof Pawlikowski , Victor W. C. Yau , Don McNickle, Distributed stochastic discrete-event simulation in parallel time streams, Proceedings of the 26th conference on Winter simulation, p.723-730, December 11-14, 1994, Orlando, Florida, United States
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