Handling outliers and concept drift in online mass flow prediction in CFB boilers

ABSTRACT

In this paper we consider an application of data mining technology to the analysis of time series data from a pilot circulating fluidized bed (CFB) reactor. We focus on the problem of the online mass prediction in CFB boilers. We present a framework based on switching regression models depending on perceived changes in the data. We analyze three alternatives for change detection. Additionally, a noise canceling and a state determination and windowing mechanisms are used for improving the robustness of online prediction. We validate our ideas on real data collected from the pilot CFB boiler.

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INDEX TERMS

Primary Classification:
  I. Computing Methodologies
  I.2 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
      I.2.6 Learning

Additional Classification:
  H. Information Systems
  H.2 DATABASE MANAGEMENT
      H.2.8 Database applications
          Subjects: Data mining

General Terms:
Experimentation, Performance, Reliability