|
ABSTRACT
In the last years, IT systems play a more and more fundamental role in human activities and, in particular, in critical activities such as the management of Air Traffic Control and Nuclear Power Plant. This has spurred several researchers to develop models, metrics, and methodologies for analyzing and measuring the security and dependability of critical systems. Their objective is to understand whether the risks affecting the system are acceptable or not. If risks are too high, analysts need to identify the treatments adequate to mitigate them. Existing proposals however fail to consider risks within multi-actors settings. Here, different actors participating to the system might have a different perception of risk and react consequently. In this paper, we introduce the concept of perceived risk and discuss its differences with actual risk. We also investigate the concepts necessary to capture and analyze perceived risk.
REFERENCES
Note: OCR errors may be found in this Reference List extracted from the full text article. ACM has opted to expose the complete List rather than only correct and linked references.
| |
1
|
CVE - Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures. http://cve.mitre.org/. accessed at 2008--05--27.
|
| |
2
|
Y. Asnar and P. Giorgini. Analysing Risk-Countermeasure in Organizations: a Quantitative Approach. Technical Report DIT-07--047, DIT - University of Trento, July 2007.
|
| |
3
|
|
| |
4
|
Y. Asnar, R. Moretti, M. Sebastianis, and N. Zannone. Risk as Dependability Metrics for the Evaluation of Business Solutions: A Model-driven Approach. In Proceedings of the 3rd International Workshop on Dependability Aspects on Data WArehousing and Mining applications, 2008.
|
| |
5
|
|
 |
6
|
|
| |
7
|
T. Bedford and R. Cooke. Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods. Cambridge University Press, 2001.
|
| |
8
|
D. Bernoulli. Exposition of a New Theory on the Measurement of Risk. Econometrica, 22:23--36, 1954. (original 1738).
|
| |
9
|
J. R. Bettman. Perceived risk and its components: A model and empirical test. Journal of Marketing Research, 10:184--190, 1973.
|
| |
10
|
CERT. Cert statistics. http://www.cert.org/stats/. accessed at 2008--05--27.
|
| |
11
|
COSO. Enterprise Risk Management - Integrated Framework. Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission, September 2004.
|
| |
12
|
Folker den Braber , Theo Dimitrakos , Bjørn Axel Gran , Mass Soldal Lund , Ketil Stølen , Jan Øyvind Aagedal, The CORAS methodology: model-based risk assessment using UML and UP, UML and the unified process, IGI Publishing, Hershey, PA, 2003
|
| |
13
|
DoD. Military Standard, Procedures for Performing a Failure Mode, Effects, and Critical Analysis. MIL-STD-1629A, 1980.
|
| |
14
|
|
| |
15
|
|
| |
16
|
|
| |
17
|
T. I. G. Institute. CoBIT - Framework Control Objectives Management Guidelines Maturity Models, 4.1 edition.
|
| |
18
|
ISO/IEC. Risk Management-Vocabulary-Guidelines for Use in Standards. ISO/IEC Guide 73, 2002.
|
| |
19
|
ISO/IEC. Management of Information and Communication Technology Security - Part 1: Concepts and Models for Information and Communication Technology Security Management. ISO/IEC 13335, 2004.
|
| |
20
|
ISO/IEC. Information Technology - Security Techniques - Information Security Management Systems - Requirements. ISO/IEC 27001, 2005.
|
| |
21
|
ISO/IEC. Information Technology - Security Techniques - Information Security Risk Management. ISO/IEC 27005, 2008.
|
| |
22
|
|
| |
23
|
Audun Jøsang , Daniel Bradley , Svein J. Knapskog, Belief-based risk analysis, Proceedings of the second workshop on Australasian information security, Data Mining and Web Intelligence, and Software Internationalisation, p.63-68, January 01, 2004, Dunedin, New Zealand
|
| |
24
|
A. Jøsang and S. Presti. Analysing the Relationship Between Risk and Trust. In Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Trust Management, volume 2995 of Lecture Notes in Computer Science, pages 135--145. Springer-Verlag, 2004.
|
| |
25
|
J. Jürjens. Secure Systems Development With UML. Springer, 2005.
|
| |
26
|
H. Lacoheea, A. Phippenb, and S. Furnell. Risk and Restitution: Assessing How Users Establish Online Trust. Computers & Security, 25(7):286--293, October 2006.
|
| |
27
|
D. G. Mayo and R. D. Hollander. Acceptable Evidence: Science and Values in Risk Management. Oxford University Press US, 1991.
|
| |
28
|
|
 |
29
|
|
| |
30
|
P. G. Neumann. RISKS--LIST: RISKS-FORUM Digest. http://catless.ncl.ac.uk/Risks/. accessed at 2008--05--27.
|
| |
31
|
|
| |
32
|
B. Schneier. In Praise of Security Theater. http://www.schneier.com/blog/, January 2007. last access 04.08.2008.
|
| |
33
|
K. Sentz and S. Ferson. Combination of Evidence in Dempster-Shafer Theory. Technical Report SAND 2002--0835, Sandia National Laboratories, 2002.
|
| |
34
|
G. Shafer. A Mathematical Theory of Evidence. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 1976.
|
| |
35
|
P. Slovic. Perceived Risk, Trust, and Democracy. Risk Analysis, 13(6):675--682, 1993.
|
| |
36
|
|
| |
37
|
M. Stamatelatos, W. Vesely, J. Dugan, J. Fragola, J. Minarick, and J. Railsback. Fault Tree Handbook with Aerospace Applications. NASA, 2002.
|
| |
38
|
U.S. NCSA - NHTSA. Fatality Analysis Reporting System General Estimates System - 2006 Data Summary. http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/CMSWeb/, 2008. last access 04.08.2008.
|
| |
39
|
U.S. NTSB. Aviation Accident Statistics. http://www.ntsb.gov/aviation/Table2.htm, 2008. last access 04.08.2008.
|
| |
40
|
D. Vose. Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide. Wiley, 2000.
|
| |
41
|
|
| |
42
|
E. Weber, A. Blais, and N. Betz. A Domain-Specific Risk-Attitude Scale: Measuring Risk Perceptions and Risk Behaviors. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 15(4):263--290, 2002.
|
|