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Confidence interval estimation using linear combinations of overlapping variance estimators
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Source Winter Simulation Conference archive
Proceedings of the 39th conference on Winter simulation: 40 years! The best is yet to come table of contents
Washington D.C.
SESSION: Analysis methodology A: advances in simulation output analysis table of contents
Pages 448-454  
Year of Publication: 2007
ISBN:1-4244-1306-0
Authors
Tûba Aktaran-Kalayci  University at Buffalo, Buffalo, New York
David Goldsman  Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA
James R. Wilson  North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
Sponsors
INFORMS-SIM : Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences: Simulation Society
NIST : National Institute of Standards and Technology
(SCS) : The Society for Modeling and Simulation International
ACM/SIGSIM : Association for Computing Machinery: Special Interest Group on Simulation
IIE : Institute of Industrial Engineers
ASA : American Statistical Association
IEEE/SMC : Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers: Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Society
Publisher
IEEE Press  Piscataway, NJ, USA
Bibliometrics
Downloads (6 Weeks): 2,   Downloads (12 Months): 27,   Citation Count: 0
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ABSTRACT

We develop new confidence-interval estimators for the mean and variance parameter of a steady-state simulation output process. These confidence intervals are based on optimal linear combinations of overlapping estimators for the variance parameter. We present analytical and simulation-based results exemplifying the potential of this technique for improvements in accuracy for confidence intervals.


REFERENCES

Note: OCR errors may be found in this Reference List extracted from the full text article. ACM has opted to expose the complete List rather than only correct and linked references.

 
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Aktaran-Kalayci, T. 2006. Steady-state analyses: Variance estimation in simulations and dynamic pricing in service systems. Doctoral dissertation, H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia. Available via <hd1.handle.net/1853/13993> {accessed June 18, 2007}.
 
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Aktaran-Kalayci, T., D. Goldsman, and J. R. Wilson. 2007. Linear combinations of overlapping variance estimators for simulation. Operations Research Letters 35:439--447.
 
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Alexopoulos, C., N. T. Argon, D. Goldsman, G. Tokol, and J. R. Wilson. 2006. Overlapping variance estimators for simulation. Operations Research, to appear. Available online via <ftp.ncsu.edu/pub/eos/pub/jwilson/ovestv72.pdf> {accessed June 14, 2007}.
 
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Billingsley, P. 1968. Convergence of probability measures. New York: Wiley.
 
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Satterthwaite, F. E. 1941. Synthesis of variance. Psychometrika 6 (5): 309--316.
 
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Schruben, L., 1983. Confidence interval estimation using standardized time series. Operations Research 31:1090--1108.
 
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Collaborative Colleagues:
Tûba Aktaran-Kalayci: colleagues
David Goldsman: colleagues
James R. Wilson: colleagues